When is a big asteroid next predicted to hit earth?

Answer 1

We don't know when the next big asteroid strike on earth will be. But we are sure it will happen. Sooner or later. There will always be a number of predictions out there as regards when we'll get hit again, but until you hear it from a group of astronomers who have done their homework, it would be wise not to worry too much about it. Oh, and those "seers" who say one is coming? They'll be passing the hat or otherwise expecting payment. Little rocks from space hit the earth all the time. But the history of the earth clearly shows that every once in a while, a very large rock from space slams into us. The damage is so great that large numbers of individual plants and animals are wiped out. Additionally, whole groups of species are killed off indirectly in the aftermath of the collision, and this owing to the damage to the biosphere the blast causes. We think the dinosaurs were terminated as a result of the effects of such a blast. We are starting to look for these near earth objects now. We've got extra eyes on the skys to see if we can spot them. We're crunching numbers all the time on rocks we spot to see if any are coming uncomfortably close. But we haven't seen the next big one with our name on it. Yet.
In fact, many asteroids hit the earth every year!

Most of them are small enough to burn up in the atmosphere though, and the few that reach the surface are too small to cause significant damage so there is no reason to worry.

Big asteroids that can significantly damage our environment or kill many people, plants and animals do hit the planet from time to time, but the chances that we would not see it coming many years before and send up a rocket to "nudge it out of the way" are really really low.
No, ateroids will hit earth when toilets fly!

Answer 2

We don't know when the next big asteroid strike on earth will be. But we are sure it will happen. Sooner or later. There will always be a number of predictions out there as regards when we'll get hit again, but until you hear it from a group of astronomers who have done their homework, it would be wise not to worry too much about it. Oh, and those "seers" who say one is coming? They'll be passing the hat or otherwise expecting payment. Use the link below to the related question.

Answer 3

At the present time, no major asteroid is predicted to hit Earth.

Asteroids with a diameter of about 5 -> 10 m hit the Earths atmosphere about once every year but are vaporised by the atmosphere with the power of a Hiroshima nuclear bomb.

Calculating the path of an asteroid is a very tricky procedure and many have been "predicted" to hit - 2002 NT7 (Not too sure is NT7 is Windows 7!) was "predicted" to hit Earth in 2019 but after analysing it's trajectory with greater detail it was removed from the list of "objects presenting a threat".

Answer 4

There is no such prediction: it is not known when an asteroid will hit Earth. There are only some estimations, every how often asteroids up to a certain size will hit Earth, but no specific date.

Answer 5

No specific date is known, but there are estimates on the probability. From Wikipedia ("Impact event"):

"Asteroids with a 1 km diameter strike the Earth every 500,000 years on average. Large collisions - with 5 km objects - happen approximately once every ten million years."

Answer 6

The arrival of asteroids is unpredictable; it is doubtful that we would get more than a month's warning, and may be a big one will arrive in the next minute.
No one can tell the exact day or time.

Answer 7

There are currently no asteroids that are predicted to hit the Earth. Nothing in the sky that is big enough to be visible is likely to hit us.

However, astronomers frequently discover nearby objects that are very close indeed. in fact, last October, astronomers located a fairly small asteroid on a collision course with Earth - only 18 hours before it hit. That asteroid, a fairly small object about the size of a small house, exploded over the Sudan without causing any known damage or injury.

And last month, astronomers discovered an asteroid that's in a "co-orbit" with the Earth, never very far away and moving in pretty much the same direction.

The nearest thing to a "prediction" is the asteroid Apophis, which will come very close to Earth on Friday, April 13, 2029, and again on Friday, April 13, 2036. However, further analysis of the orbit of Apophis indicates that there is only one chance in 40,000 that it will hit.

Answer 8

No asteroid collision is predicted.

That's not the same as saying we have a guarantee that it won't happen.

But nothing has been observed yet that's on a collision course with earth.

Answer 9

As far as I know, there are no specific predictions. Some asteroids are predicted to pass nearby; the probability of any specific asteroid actually hitting Earth is quite small.

Answer 10

the next asteroid is predicted in 2029