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Probably not, though it probably can't be ruled out either. Typically, when a moderate risk outlook has been issued, the previous outlook had a relatively large area under a higher degree of slight risk (such as a 10% outlook for tornadoes). The 10% tornado outlook in this case is not that large, but again, an upgrade to the outlook probably can't be ruled out.

That said, even if a moderate risk outlook is not issued, the SPC has mentioned the potential for strong tornadoes, and violent tornadoes have occurred under similar circumstances.

SPC outlooks should be taken with a grain of salt, as a slight variation in weather conditions can make a significant difference in how an event will play out.

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Could the SPC downgrade the MDT Risk of severe thunder storms to slight?

Yes, the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) could downgrade the Moderate Risk (MDT) of severe thunderstorms to a Slight Risk if new data or analysis suggests a reduced threat of severe weather. This decision is based on ongoing monitoring of atmospheric conditions and the latest forecast models.


What Does A Slight Risk of severe Storms Mean?

In assessing the risk of severe storms the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has three general risk levels: SLGT (slight), MDT (moderate), and HIGH.A location within a region that is under a slight risk has at least a 15% chance of having a severe thunderstorm come within 25 miles or a 10% or greater chance of a tornado coming within 25 miles.A severe thunderstorm is a thunderstorm that produces at least one of the following:Winds to at least 58 mphHail to 1 inch diameter or greaterA tornado


Is there potential for a high risk of severe thunderstorms on may 11th 2014?

It is not likely. Currently the moderate-risk outlook has been issued for hail, for which the SPC does not issue high-risk outlooks. Only slight-risk outlooks have been issued for wind and tornadoes.


Why are tornado watches issued in 5 percent tornado areas from the SPC?

A 5% risk area for tornadoes suggests an environment fairly favorable for tornado development, enough to warrant a slight risk outlook. Such conditions are sometimes favorable enough to warrant a tornado watch.


What does the 5 percent tornado probability from the spc typically mean?

It can vary considerably as the is a fair degree of uncertainty. Usually it will mean a few scattered and mostly weak tornado will occur. Tornadoes stronger than EF2 are probably unlikely, though there are exceptions. This qualifies as a slight risk outlook.

Related Questions

Was there ever a pds tornado watch in a slight risk severe thunderstorm area?

There does not appear to be such an incident based on a look at available data. Such a situation is unlikely to arise, since the Storm Prediction Center is in charge of issuing both severe weather outlooks and tornado watches. If it saw fit to issue a PDS tornado watch, it would likely issue a moderate or high risk outlook as well.


How can you use predicted in a sentence?

The weather prediction for today is cloudy with a slight chance of rain.The prediction of me getting a psp would be 55 percent.


Is there going to be a tornado today in Vermont?

The future is, at best, difficult to predict. For today, May 27, 2014 the Storm Prediction Center has issue a slight risk outlook for severe weather that includes extreme southwestern Vermont. This outlook has been issued primarily for severe thunderstorm winds. There is a marginal risk of tornadoes listed for southeastern New York. A tornado in Vermont today cannot be ruled out, but it is highly unlikely.


What forces affect the motions of tornadoes?

The primary force at work in a tornado is a pressure gradient force. Pressure inside a tornado is lower than it is outside, which causes the path of any air near it to curve toward the center of the tornado. Slight variations in that pressure can affect how a tornado behaves, which is part of what makes tornadoes so hard to predict.


Could the SPC downgrade the MDT Risk of severe thunder storms to slight?

Yes, the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) could downgrade the Moderate Risk (MDT) of severe thunderstorms to a Slight Risk if new data or analysis suggests a reduced threat of severe weather. This decision is based on ongoing monitoring of atmospheric conditions and the latest forecast models.


Are whirlwinds and tornadoes the same thing?

Whirlwinds and tornadoes are similar in that they both involve rapidly rotating columns of air, but there is a slight difference. Whirlwinds are typically used to describe vortexes of wind that are smaller in scale and less intense, while tornadoes are more powerful and destructive and are characterized by a funnel-shaped cloud reaching the ground.


Why is the storm prediction center changing the way an MDT risk is issued such as wind 45 percent or tornado15 now needs to be hatched for it to qualify as MDT starting on October 22ed 2014?

Most likely it is part of an assessment of the actual risk involved. The hatched area refers to significant severe weather, meaning wind gusts to hurricane force and tornadoes of EF2 or higher intensity. It is these events which pose the greatest risk to life and property.


What's the best technology for a gaming hobby?

Probably the best improvement you can make is with the graphic card. Typically, a slight change there can do more good than a big upgrade of the processor.


On a 1989 Dodge Spirit ES front-wheel drive why would the front tires seem to 'slap' the pavement at 45mph on a slight upgrade?

check your struts sounds like they are worn out


Is there a risk for western NC to be under a MDT risk for severe thunder storms on Tuesday April 29th 2014?

It is too early to tell for sure as not outlook as yet been issued for that date. The Storm Prediction Center notes that a slight risk outlook may be issued. But consideration of a moderate risk outlook requires a level of confidence not possible with out current forecasting abilities.


Scientist measurements indicate that the shape of planet earth is most like a sphere with a slight bulge in the center along what?

The equator.


What is the weather usually like in Pewaukee Wisconsin on June 3?

Usually, it is sunny because it is summer. But storms and tornadoes are possible wheather to occure. But, usually it is sunny with a slight breeze, sometimes cold