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Probability

The probability of a certain event is a number expressing the likelihood that a specific event will occur, expressed as the ratio of the number of actual occurrences to the number of possible occurrences. In mathematics, it is a measure of how often an event will happen and is the basis of statistics.

14,643 Questions

What are the chances of dealing out cards that have been shuffled well in exact order?

The odds are... remote. This is a factorial problem to calculate the answer you take how many options the first "dealt" card has of being. In this case the first card has a 1-in-52 chance of being the Ace of Spades (the "highest" card in a deck.) The next card has a 1-in-51 chance of being the Two of Spades, and so on. You calculate the odds of this happening my multiplying 52 by 51.

So, the odds are 52 times 51 times 50 times 49 times 48 times... yadda yadda yadda until you get to one. The answer?

The odd of taking a shuffled deck of cards, reshuffling it, and the dealing the cards back in the correct order are 1 in 806,581,751,709,439x10 to the 54th power. (septendecillion.)

Or 80 unvigintillion. (80 followed by 66 zeroes). For the sake of comparison, conservative estimates put the number of stars in our galaxy at 100 Billion (100 followed by 9 zeroes) and the number of galaxies in the universe at the same number, making the number of potential stars in the universe at 10 sextilion (a 10 followed by 21 zeroes.)

A bag contains 3 red marbles 2 blue marbles and 5 green marbles What is the probability of selecting a red marble without replacing it in the bag and then selecting a green marble?

Total marbles in the bag = 10

Number of red ones = 3

Probability of pulling a red one on the first draw = 3/10 = 0.3

Total marbles remaining after the first draw = 9

Number of green ones = 5

Probability of pulling a green one after a red one has been withdrawn = 5/9

Probability of both outcomes = (3/10) x (5/9) = (15/90) = 1/6 = (16 and 2/3) percent.

10 cards are numbered from 1 to 10 and placed in a box One card is selected at random and is not replaced Another card is randomly selected What is the probability of selecting two prime numbers?

Primes are 2, 3, 5 and 7 which form 6 "prime pairs". There are 45 possible pairs in the box so the odds are 39 to 6 against ie 13/2, a probability of two-fifteenths or 13.3% or 0.13 recurring.

When is the median the most appropriate center for a distribution?

The median is the most appropriate center when the distribution is very skewed or if there are many outliers.

What is the probability of rolling a sum of 7 or a sum of 11?

If two fair number cubes are rolled, the answers are:

Prob(7) = 6/36 = 1/6

Prob(11) = 2/36 = 1/18.

When rolling two dice which outcome is more likely a sum of 3 or sum of 5?

For 3 you need 1+2, but for 5 you can have 1+4 or 2+3 so you have twice as many chances for 5.

Can the standard deviation or variance be negative?

No, a standard deviation or variance does not have a negative sign. The reason for this is that the deviations from the mean are squared in the formula. Deviations are squared to get rid of signs.

In Absolute mean deviation, sum of the deviations is taken ignoring the signs, but there is no justification for doing so. (deviations are not squared here)

For a normal distribution find the z-scores values that separate the middle 60 percent of the distribution for the 40 percent in the tails?

The standard normal table tells us the area under a normal curve to the left of a number z.

The tables usually give only the positive value since one can use symmetry to find the corresponding negative values.

The middle 60 percent leaves 20 percent on either side. So we want the z scores that correspond to that 80 percentile which is .804. Therefore the values are are between z scores of -.804 and .804

* * * * *

I make it -0.8416 to 0.8416

How many possible outcomes are in the sample space for the event first roll a die and then shoot a basket?

There is 2 outcomes for flipping the coin, and 6 outcomes for rolling the cube. The total outcomes for both are 2*6 = 12.

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