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Paul's initial expectations of a Western response to Rwanda's crisis were largely pessimistic. He anticipated a lack of decisive action from Western nations, rooted in a history of indifference toward African conflicts. Paul believed that the international community would prioritize political and strategic interests over humanitarian concerns, resulting in inadequate support for the Rwandan people during the genocide. Ultimately, he feared that this would lead to a tragic outcome, with minimal intervention to halt the violence.

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