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The reason is because short tail cats have both genes of a no tail cat and a genes of a long tail cat.

Lets say that a long tail gene is called gene A, and a no tail gene is called gene B.

if both cats have short tails that means both cats have both genes A and B equally. so there is a 50-50 chance that each cat gives either gene to the baby

This means the possible combinations are that one cat gives the baby an A and the other a B, remember that this possibility comes up twice since it doesn't matter which cat gives the A or the B. The other possibilities are that both cats give the kitten an A, or both cats give the kitten a B.

That leaves AB(short tail), BA(short tail), AA(long tail), BB(no tail)

so 25% for no tail, 25% for long tail, and 50% for short tail.

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