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Can you predict bushfires

Updated: 8/10/2023
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11y ago

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While predicting exactly when and where a fire will start cannot be done, a number of agencies monitor conditions for fire including temperature, humidity, fuel temperature and moisture, rainfall, and the amount of fuel in a given area. A high amount of fuel and high temperature for a sustained time with little or no rain is a sign that a wildfire could occur. Usually these factors are simplified into a numeric Fire Danger Index, which translates to four levels of danger: Low, Moderate, High, and Extreme.

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15y ago
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14y ago

Usually they are predicted by the relative humidity, temperature, winds and likelyhood of thunderstorms. If their is a strong chance of lightning and the relative humidity is low, the temperature high and the winds moderate to high then there is a strong chance that a wild fire could occur. The base their predictions by percentages based on all these factors. They also pour over maps where wildfires occured in the past and the conditions that led to the wild fire. They then compare those conditions to all over previous wild fires and base their predictions on these finding (which they can set up as a base line environmental condition that would result in a wild fire). Check out the link below, I did a paper on this when I was in highschool http://www.wired.com/science/discoveries/news/2004/08/64511

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13y ago

Wildfires are hard to predict however when it has been dry for awhile and a thunderstorm comes there is danger for a wildfire and also when careless people are in woods there is danger for wildfires.

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11y ago

They are likely to occur during and after any dry season. A drought can also increase the chances of a wildfire.

In the dry season this is where it would rain less often and vegetation would become much more drier storing little water. Dry vegetation is more flammable. Anything that starts a fire can lit the vegetation on fire and the dry vegetation can fuel or feed the fire where the fire can grow into a wildfire.

Fires are also more likely to happen during and after thunderstorms where lightning, which is hotter than the surface of the sun, is hot enough to lit a fire and cause a wildfire in dry vegetation. Thunderstorms mainly occur during summer or in hot climates (such as middle Africa) where it is warm enough to produce a more developed and energetic storm that can produce lightning. If the thunderstorm brings rain and precipitation then it can put out the wildfire but if it doesn't rain or doesn't rain on the area where the fire is then the wildfire will continue after a thunderstorm.

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11y ago

The Bureau of Meteorology in Australia and expert fire authorities are the only groups that can predict whether or not bushfires are likely. They base their information on the weather conditions leading up to the fire season, such as the dryness and heat, and also on winter rainfalls. Winter rainfalls mean more vegetation growth, which is likely to dry off during Spring and Summer, leading to ideal fire conditions.

New technology now also allows for the prediction of what path and behaviour a bushfire may take over a two to six hour window, within minutes of it first breaking out. This is a tremendous tool that can help fight bushfires: not only can firefighters be deployed to the areas most likely to need them, but warnings can be given for people in those areas to be evacuated quickly and safely.

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17y ago

no because no one knows exactly when all this is going to happen, it just does.

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11y ago

A wildfire can be predicted because you can tell by the wind, temprature, and many other ways.

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