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No. The Japanese Navy had meditated an attack on Pearl Harbor for decades, in the event of war with the US. The idea was actually the subject of a novel published before the first World War, which did not go unnoticed in Japan. For several years in the early 30s the question of how best to attack Pearl Harbor was included on the final examination of classes at the Imperial Naval General Staff College. Once further sales of oil to Japan were embargoed in the summer of 1941, the Japanese had only an 18 month supply on hand. The leaders of the military thus saw the situation as a stark choice between knuckling under to US demands that they cease their aggressive conquests in Asia, withdraw from China, and give up forever the dream of the "Greater East Asia Co-Prosperity Sphere", or, come up with an alternative supply of oil, which meant invading the Dutch East Indies for the ample supply there. Not realizing than unlike themselves, a US president (in those days) could not take the US to war whenever he might wish to do so, the Japanese felt it necessary to invade the Philippines (then a US possession) to secure the flank of their attack farther south. The Japanese never understood that the people of the US were most unlikely to support going to war over any number of some other country's invaded colonies, and thus choose the one method of ensuring that the people of the US would be implacably determined to see them vanquished, by making a direct attack on the US. It was Admiral Yamamoto who was able to use his prestige to add the attack on Pearl Harbor to the overall plan, over considerable reluctance among his colleagues, in order to inflict sufficient damage to the US Pacific Fleet that the US would be unable to interfere with the planned Japanese conquests for at least six months, by which time they would have (and did) secure all their objectives. The Japanese expected or hoped that after this the soft, decadent US would meekly acquiesce in this new status quo, and make peace.

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12y ago

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