It is possible that a high-risk outlook will be issued. The SPC has issued a moderate-risk area on that date in their day 3 outlook, which is unusual.
I wouldn't count on it. Given the size of the enhanced risk area, a moderate risk outlook is a good possibility, but high risk out looks are rare and we are moving out of a period of abnormally low activity.
It is not likely. Currently the moderate-risk outlook has been issued for hail, for which the SPC does not issue high-risk outlooks. Only slight-risk outlooks have been issued for wind and tornadoes.
For examples of severe weather are: tornadoes, earthquakes, hurricanes, and severe thunderstorms. High winds, hail, excessive precipitation, and wildfires are forms and effects of severe weather, as are thunderstorms, downbursts, lightning, tornadoes, waterspouts, tropical cyclones, and extratropical cyclones. Regional and seasonal severe weather phenomena include blizzards, snowstorms, ice storms, and duststorms
It is too early to tell at this point. The SPC has not mentioned consideration of going to a high risk, and April 29 did not show up as strongly on the long-term forecast. Additionally, only once has the SPC ever issued high-risk outlooks for three days in a row.
No. Altocumulus do not cause thunderstorms, but altocumulus castellanus can be a sign that thunderstorms will develop later in the day.
It is unlikely unless the area under the moderate-risk outlook is expanded.
I wouldn't count on it. Given the size of the enhanced risk area, a moderate risk outlook is a good possibility, but high risk out looks are rare and we are moving out of a period of abnormally low activity.
Given that the potential for strong tornadoes is already being mentioned in the day 4-5 outlooks, that is a possibility. However it is too early to tell what will happen, or even if this truly will be a major event as predicted. A small shift in conditions can significantly affect the outcome of a severe weather outbreak.
It is not likely. Currently the moderate-risk outlook has been issued for hail, for which the SPC does not issue high-risk outlooks. Only slight-risk outlooks have been issued for wind and tornadoes.
For examples of severe weather are: tornadoes, earthquakes, hurricanes, and severe thunderstorms. High winds, hail, excessive precipitation, and wildfires are forms and effects of severe weather, as are thunderstorms, downbursts, lightning, tornadoes, waterspouts, tropical cyclones, and extratropical cyclones. Regional and seasonal severe weather phenomena include blizzards, snowstorms, ice storms, and duststorms
A thunderstorm, most likely a severe thunderstorm.
It is too early to tell at this point. The SPC has not mentioned consideration of going to a high risk, and April 29 did not show up as strongly on the long-term forecast. Additionally, only once has the SPC ever issued high-risk outlooks for three days in a row.
The calm area of a tropical cyclone is the eye. The circular eye of the storm is surrounded by a high wall of thunderstorms where the most severe weather occurs.
In all likelihood, no. There have only ever been two day 2 high risk outlooks. Issuing a high risk outlook means that the SPC is predicting with a high degree of certainty that there will be a major severe weather outbreak. A day 3 outlook cannot be issued with such certainty.
No. Altocumulus do not cause thunderstorms, but altocumulus castellanus can be a sign that thunderstorms will develop later in the day.
cool dry air :D
Coronado High - 2015 was released on: USA: 11 January 2015