What percentage is the likelihood of Barack Obama winning a second term as President in 2012?
Intrade has the predicted chances at between 59 - 61% for President Obama with Mitt Romney the closest second, around 35 - 37%.
Barack Obama defeated Republican John McCain by winning the popular election on November 4, 2008, winning 52.9% of the popular vote. He was officially elected by the Electoral College on December 15, 2008. His inauguration was on January 20, 2009. Then, on November 6, 2012, President Obama won a second term in office, gaining 332 electoral votes to Mitt Romney's 206, and also winning the popular vote 51% to 48%.
Currently, Barack Obama, the democratic candidate is winning, but the vote is tomorrow, on November 4th, 2008. Barack Obama has won the majority of electorial votes in the United States, and has become the United States President-elect and will be officially sworn-in as President of the United States of America at the end of President George W. Bush's term of Presidency on January 20 2009.