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George Gallup correctly predicted that FDR would handily defeat Alf Landon by using a survey with a relatively small random sample of about 1000 people; meanwhile the Funk & Wagnalls Literary Digest used a sample of more than a million of its readers, who were disproportionately wealthy and supportive of the Republicans, to predict that Landon would win in a landslide, and at first the Literary Digest poll was more widely known.

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13y ago
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6mo ago

The winner of the 1936 election in the United States was Franklin D. Roosevelt, who was predicted to win by the Literary Digest poll. However, the poll conducted by George Gallup and Elmo Roper correctly predicted Roosevelt's victory by using a smaller, more representative sample.

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Q: Who was the winner of the 1936 election that predicted correctly by which poll?
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