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In truth, just plain bad luck. However, if the Russians would've stuck to it (and Japan knew this by the way, that's why they had Teddy Roosevelt broker a settlement quickly) they would've won the war...because the Trans-Siberian Railroad was working up to full throttle bringing in fresh infantrymen. Japan was running out of both money & men; although the Russians had lost TWO out of their 3 battleship fleets (the Black Sea Battleship Fleet was the only Survivor) they were stronger on land than they were at sea...and Russia had plenty of manpower to fill their army; Japan didn't.

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