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With the French withdrawal from Vietnam in 1954, it is unlikely that the newly sponsored government of the Republic of (South) Vietnam would have survived more than a few months against the well organized and experienced Viet Minh that was led by Ho Chi Minh. The new Saigon government in South Vietnam in 1954-55 was was totally dependent on the US Gov for financial and materiel support.

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Q: How would the Vietnam War change without the intervention of the US?
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