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Some of the items mentioned below seem logical based on today's standards. There are no clear answers or answers with a 100% degree of accuracy on this question. Short term yes, long term, no possible way to be sure. With that said, some changes would be necessary for the South to decide.

If the South had become independent, their economy would have to begin building a manufacturing base. As a nation, growing and selling cotton and tobacco would lend itself to weakness. Soon enough, slavery would have become a burden. Having to care for and feed almost four million slaves would put the Southern economy at risk within 10 to 15 years in the future. No one has an answer as to what a major minority population would do in terms of Economics, but, certainly the civil rights of Freedmen would continue to be abused.In the North, the farm products grown by the South would have been more costly. The westward growth of the US however would have continued and no doubt its economy would expand.

Within a few generations, Southern states could easily ask to return to the US. And, Freedmen freely allowed to emigrate to the factories of the North.

All this is speculation. No one can know with any certainty, however even some White Southerners would have emigrated North and westward.

In addition, the idea to return to the US, once the slavery question was solved, meaning the South itself would be forced to change this cruel and inefficient means of production, the South would be at risk.

Great Britain may have tried to make the South a sphere of influence. No doubt that would create a movement to rejoin the US, as slavery would be a thing of the past.

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โˆ™ 2015-09-29 19:23:45
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Q: What would have happend to the economy if the South had won the war?
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