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It relates to something called a cap, a layer of stable air that often forms a little more than a mile above the ground. This layer of air can prevent thunderstorms from rising up.

The cap is something of a double-edged sword for severe thunderstorms. In many severe weather outbreaks, the cap plays a crucial role in that it initially holds back storm formation, allowing the air below it to become highly unstable. When the cap weakens, the storms punch through and become very powerful due to the instability below.

However, in other instances the cap holds and the storms fail to develop.

So, busted high-risk days are often the result of meteorologists wrongly predicting that the storms will be able to break the cap.

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Q: Why were some high risk days for severe thunderstorms busted?
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