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Yes. The tension over the arms race that had taken place since the unification of the German states, the weakening of the Austro-Hungarian and Ottoman Empires, the Pan-Slavic nationalist movement and the French hatred of Germany over the loss of Alsace-Lorraine was bound to resolve itself in a war sooner or later. WWI's perpetrator in this case would most likely be Germany. The Kaiser's belief of Germany " Needing to have a place in the sun" would most likely make Germany to direct aggression onto Belgium or Russia, both having strong ties with France.

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Q: Would the war still have taken place if the assassination of Ferdinand had not?
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