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That depends on precisely what you mean by Pearl Harbor. If you mean a surprise attack by naval air forces of the Japanese specifically on the military facility at Pearl Harbor, then I think it highly unlikely. Even if Japan were mad at us right now, we have intelligence gathering devices today which would make a fleet of heavy warships centered on six aircraft carriers crossing the North Pacific look like a Saint Patrick's Day parade.

On the other hand, if you just mean a surprise attack, they happen every day, for example in Iraq, with casualties - not as many as Pearl Harbor, which had well over 2000 killed - but one dead, whether American or Iraqi, is too many.

And if you mean a surprise attack on the scale of Pearl Harbor, I think the attacks on the World Trade Center Towers and the Pentagon in 2001 qualify easily, with over 3000 dead and we never saw it coming.

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16y ago

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