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The outcome of the US Civil War was never inevitable until the last few months of the War. The slavery issue would be solved one way or another as technology would place it in to the dustbin of US history. However, that's another topic.

The outcome of the War was in doubt in many ways as the Vietnam War was. As in Vietnam, regardless of the Union's advantages in men, material, and organization, the war would be won on the battlefield with the realization that a Union victory had a cost that few nations could endure.

Were Union soldiers from New York, fighting and dying to free Southern slaves? It was an institution that existed before the United States ever existed. Most soldiers would agree that slavery in the South was wrong, but it was wrong when New York ratified the US Constitution.

It's a difficult task to demonstrate that Union soldiers were now going to fight & die to end slavery. Not at the cost of the rising casualty rates. It's much easier to make a case that the Southern rebellion was a danger to the Union, the Nation that the American Revolution created. A nation, that, flawed as it was, was heads above its European rivals with their kings, barons, endless wars and intrigues.

As late as the Summer of 1864, a former Union general was running to be president, solve the issues, and stop the horrific bloodshed. The Republican Party itself was considering the nomination of another candidate.

All Union victories were at the expense of not a foreign force, but of fellow Americans.

So, no, the result of the rebellion was in doubt from the beginning.

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