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It is the ratio of the state's population to the combined population of all of the states at the time of the last official census. Multiplying that ratio by 435 should get you within 1 of the state's actual House representation.

A lot of people say it is just the state's population, but it is possible for a state's population to go up while its representation in the House goes down, as happened with Illinois, Iowa, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, Ohio and Pennsylvania between the last two censuses.

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