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They don't always. For example in WW2 Germany had the V-1 and V-2 rockets and operational jet and rocket aircraft and still lost the war. The new weapons were simply too few in number and were introduced too late to be effective. George Custer lost a battle against Sioux, Arapahoe, and Cheyenne in part because he left his Gatling guns in the rear. On the other side, the outcome of the war in the Pacific was shortened by dropping nuclear weapons and the Stealth technology used in the Gulf War was very effective.

I'll give the standard Military Historian's answer to this question: new weapons technology does not change the outcome of a war on its own. Instead, what changes warfare is the combination of new technology, and someone smart enough to use that technology in a new and novel manner.

For instance, early firearms (arquebuses) were invented in the mid 1400s. While their introduction improved the effectiveness of those armies using it, it was really not a significant game-changing weapon until King Gustavus Adolphus of Sweden completely re-configured his army around a novel deployment of the arquebus around 1610.

Likewise, the invention of the breech-loading rifle and its cousin, the repeating rifle, in the mid-1850s in the USA had virtually no impact on the American Civil War. The person in charge of the Union arms production considered these weapons as "too wasteful of ammunition", and refused to supply them to the Union army. Union troops which obtained these weapons through private channels were radically more effective against the Confederates (who could not make these weapons themselves), than the ordinary smoothbore musket-armed Union soldier. So, the Union side ignored a valuable technology because it didn't understand how to use it effectively. The breechloading rifle was then shown to be highly effective in the 1870s during the Indian wars (vs Native Americans) and in the Franco-Prussian War.

In short, you need not just new technology, but someone who understands how to use this new technology in order for it to have a lasting impact.

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Q: How do newer weapons change the outcome of war?
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