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It's all speculation, but one possible scenario: Lee swings east, sending Hill's Corps toward Washington, followed by Ewell's Corps, leaving Longstreet's Corps to collect prisoners and then to act as rear guard against any action by the Army of the Potomac. Hill's Corps and Ewell's Corps take Washington, capturing many government officials, including Lincoln. The US sues for peace, and a separate country is recognized. This could easily have happened - if Meade had been decisively defeated. The Battle of Gettysburg was that important.

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At the end of July 3, 1863, the Confederate army at Gettysburg may have repulsed a counter attack by Union General Meade the following day, July 4th. If that had happened, Lee's army would have exhausted its ammunition supply and a decisive Union victory would have been won.

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Q: What would have happened if Union General George Meade had counter attacked at Gettysburg on July 4 1863?
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What caused the two major counter offensives by General Lee into Union territory during the US Civil War?

Generally speaking a counter offensive does not require the event to coincide with a victory, but in the two cases under review here they did. In each case, Major General Robert E. Lee launched his two major counter offensives after a solid Southern victory, then Lee counter attacked. The first instance was after Lee won the second Battle of Bull Run. He then proceeded to launch a successful counter attack into Maryland. And, after one of the most astounding victories of the war at Chancellorsville, Lee once again was successful in crossing the Potomac River as he did in 1862. His counter attack came at the expense, this time over Union General Joseph Hooker. Now, with that said, there is no doubt that the counter attacks succeeded. If it were not so, then the Army of the Potomac never would have allowed Lee to cross the Potomac River. These were huge errors by the Union, and more directly on the two different commanders of the Army of the Potomac. The end results at Antietam and Gettysburg do not effect the success of Lee in even getting to the two destinations.


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General Lee understood the gamble he was going to take by assaulting Cemetery Ridge on the third day of the Battle of Gettysburg. He also understood the caution that General James Longstreet had given to Lee which was not to attack the Union's position on the Ridge. Part of Lee's confidence lay in the massive artillery barrage that he ordered at 1:00 PM on July 3, 1863. The Confederate artillery barrage came from 140 cannons. Many shots overshot their targets and left the Union's 80 guns ready for a Rebel advance which began at 3 PM that afternoon. The assaults failed and the battle was lost. Lee expected a counter attack on July 4th but General Meade wisely held back from a possible defeat.

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What caused the two major counter offensives by General Lee into Union territory during the US Civil War?

Generally speaking a counter offensive does not require the event to coincide with a victory, but in the two cases under review here they did. In each case, Major General Robert E. Lee launched his two major counter offensives after a solid Southern victory, then Lee counter attacked. The first instance was after Lee won the second Battle of Bull Run. He then proceeded to launch a successful counter attack into Maryland. And, after one of the most astounding victories of the war at Chancellorsville, Lee once again was successful in crossing the Potomac River as he did in 1862. His counter attack came at the expense, this time over Union General Joseph Hooker. Now, with that said, there is no doubt that the counter attacks succeeded. If it were not so, then the Army of the Potomac never would have allowed Lee to cross the Potomac River. These were huge errors by the Union, and more directly on the two different commanders of the Army of the Potomac. The end results at Antietam and Gettysburg do not effect the success of Lee in even getting to the two destinations.


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