Will the Apophis "God of Chaos" asteroid hit the Earth in 2029?


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Todd L Ross
2019-09-05 14:23:38
2019-09-05 14:23:38

Nothing is 100 percent guaranteed in astronomy, but scientists don’t expect the asteroid 99942-Apophis to come into contact with the Earth (or any other celestial bodies in our solar system, for that matter).

A blog post from NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) at the California Institute of Technology notes that on Friday, April 13, 2029, 99942-Apophis will “cruise harmlessly by Earth, about 19,000 miles (31,000 kilometers) above the surface.”

You read that right: An asteroid will come incredibly close to the Earth on Friday the 13th. If you’re superstitious, that seems like bad news, but astronomers aren’t worried.

“That’s within the distance [of] some of our spacecraft that orbit Earth,” the blog notes. “The international asteroid research community couldn't be more excited.”

Note that they use the word “excited,” not “terrified.”

"The Apophis close approach in 2029 will be an incredible opportunity for science," Marina Brozović, a radar scientist at JPL, said in a statement. "We'll observe the asteroid with both optical and radar telescopes. With radar observations, we might be able to see surface details that are only a few meters in size."

Without radar, telescopes, or other tools, Apophis will still be impressive. It will be visible to the naked eye and will look like a star moving across the sky. From our perspective, it will become visible above Australia, then move across the Atlantic Ocean, reaching the U.S. West Coast in the early hours of the evening.

Apophis was discovered in June 2004, and later that year, a group of Australian astronomers spotted it a second time and calculated a 2.7 percent chance of a collision with Earth. However, subsequent calculations have ruled out that possibility for the 2029 flyby.

What about future flybys? Speaking to Newsweek, astronomer Davide Farnocchia put the chances of a collision after 2060 at “less than 1 in 100,000.” That’s still incredibly close by the standards of astronomy, but it’s not something to worry about.

If Apophis did come into contact with Earth, it could cause devastating damage, but at 1,110-feet wide, it’s not large enough to cause a global extinction. Asteroids only pose an existential threat to life on Earth when they’re several miles wide; at those sizes, they could throw up enough dust from the planet’s surface to block out sunlight, preventing plant growth and causing global temperature changes. Scientists believe that the object that contributed to the extinction of dinosaurs was about seven to eight miles wide.

Apophis isn’t a threat at all—at least, it won’t be in 2029. If you’ve got clear skies that night, count yourself lucky and watch the show (and don’t worry about taking out extra insurance).


Related Questions

99942 Apophis is an asteroid where initial observations indicated a small probability (up to 2.7%) that it would strike the Earth in 2029.Later observations concluded that the asteroid would miss the Earth.The chances are now set at a one in 3 million that it will hit Earth.

99942 Apophis is a 270m diameter near Earth asteroid that was thought to be on a collision course with Earth. It caused a panic in 2004 as it was thought that it might hit the earth in 2029. New calculations estimate that the asteroid will now most likely miss.

No, Apophis will not strike the earth in 2029 or 2036.

about 60 or 70% of life species plus humans will died out when if the asteroid apophis when if hit the earth that asteroid is size of manhattan same size which killed off the dinosaurs

The asteroid Apophis will come very close to the Earth - about 14,000 miles - on Friday, April 13, 2029. It will miss. The gravitational interaction between the Earth, the Moon and Apophis cannot be precisely determined at this time; depending on the EXACT orientation and alignment, there is a very small chance that Apophis will hit the Earth on Friday, April 13, 2036. However, we ought to be able to determine during the 2029 pass if the Earth will be in any danger in 2036, and this will give us seven years to move or destroy the asteroid should it pose any threat to Earth.

The problem with naming a particular asteroid as the one that "comes closer than any other" is that we keep discovering new asteroids flying around that come even CLOSER. At one time, the asteroid "Eros" was the one described as coming closest, but that title may now go to the asteroid Apophis. Apophis will make a very close approach to the Earth on April 13 (Friday the 13th!) 2029, and again on April 13, 2036. The 2029 pass will bring Apophis closer to the Earth than many communications satellites!

The asteroid 99942 Apophis was set for a possible future impact on April 13, 2036.However, this data was based on predictions that it would collide with Earth in 2004 and then predictions placed the date as 2029. Further observational data discounted this, and the 2036 date was set.The chances that the asteroid will strike the Earth is put as 1:250,000

It seems unlikely. Even I will only be 79 in 2029, and my family is noted for long life expectancy. Oh, you were referring to the Friday, April 13, 2029 near pass by the asteroid Apophis? No, Apophis will certainly miss the Earth in 2029. However, it will come quite close to the Earth, and the Earth's gravity will deflect the orbit of Apophis very slightly, giving it a tiny but measurable probability of striking the Earth exactly seven years later, on Friday, April 13, 2036. (Note that BOTH passes will occur on Friday the 13th.) Closer observations of Apophis' orbit during the CPA (Closest Point of Approach) in 2029 will allow us to more accurately predict the approach distance for the 2036 pass.

The asteroid Apophis, named for the villain in the Star Gate: SG1 TV series, will make close approaches to Earth on Friday, April 13th, 2029 (Get it? Friday the 13th?) and again in 2036. It is very unlikely to affect the Earth directly, but is likely to cause a lot of needless panic in the months preceding its closest approach. NASA has calculated that Apophis has a 1-in-45,000 chance of actually striking the Earth in 2036, but it will miss completely in 2029.

there is 1 in 45,000 chance that in 2029-2036 the apophis will strike and if it does in will hit of the coast of California and there will be huge tsunamis

Neither; Apophis is an asteroid, and not especially large. It would bear no mention at all, except for the fact that on Friday, April 13, 2029 it will come within about 20,000 miles of the Earth, closer than the orbit of geosynchronous satellites. But it will miss.

Comets are difficult to predict; we currently know of no comets that will be visible in 2012, but new ones are discovered periodically. No asteroids that we are aware of will approach the Earth very closely before April 13, 2029, when the asteroid Apophis will come fairly close the Earth. (But it will miss.)

Chances are, no. There was some concern in 2004 that the asteroid Apophis might hit earth in 2029, but it is now known that the object will narrowly miss earth, though there is still some uncertainty of a few thousand miles as to how close it will come. There is still a very slight chance that it could hit earth in 2036.Even if we did predict that an asteroid would hit earth, we could not predict the path so precisely as to whether it would hit a particular city.

There is an asteroid heading toward the Earth. It is called "Apophis", which was the name of one of the minor lords of the underworld in Egyptian legend. (Apophis was also the name of the villain in the TV series "Star Gate: SG1", and the discoverers of the asteroid were supposedly big fans of the TV show.)When it was first discovered, there was a fear that Apophis might collide with the Earth; a valid concern, since asteroid impacts have devastated the Earth before. An asteroid impact 65 million years ago, for example, is believed to have wiped out the dinosaurs - and the majority of other life on Earth. Additional observations demonstrated that while Apophis will approach the Earth quite closely - within about 20,000 miles! - on April 13, 2029, the asteroid will miss. (It is ENTIRELY co-incidental that April 13, 2029 is a Friday.)There is still a minor concern that if Apophis passes though a precise football-stadium-sized "keyhole in space" that the Earth's gravity might deflect Apophis into a trajectory that would cause it to strike the Earth on Friday, April 13, 2036. Astronomers have calculated the odds of this at 40,000 to one against. It is HIGHLY unlikely that the Moon's position in its orbit would cause Apophis to strike the Moon instead, although it would certainly be a spectacular fireworks display!But the fact is that our observations so far have not been precise enough to pin down the orbit of Apophis to totally eliminate the possibility. That's one reason that scientists are thinking about a space probe that would land a radio beacon on Apophis, to be able to track it more accurately.

That varies with their orbits. Some of them get very close indeed! For example, on Friday, April 13, 2029, the asteroid Apophis will come within about 20,000 miles of the Earth; closer even than communications satellites! Fortunately, it will miss.

There is one known asteroid which has some slight probability of colliding with the Earth. (There are no doubt many things on a collision course with Earth of which we are blissfully unaware.) This asteroid is called Apophis. It is a space rock which will pass close to Earth on Friday, April 13, 2029. Apophis will not hit the Earth on that pass, but the worry is that there will be some gravitational perturbation that might cause Apophis to come closer than expected on Friday, April 13, 2037. Current calculations indicate that the chance of a collision is about one chance in 40,000. There are other rocks in space that will occasionally come close. Someday, one of them will hit us. We don't know when.

They don't think so, but it will be very close in 2029. There is more concern about the next time it comes by, but that's really not that far off, it will be in 2036. _____________________________________________ When Apophis comes close to Earth (and it will be VERY close on an astronomical scale - below the altitude of geosynchronous satellites!) on Friday, April 13, 2029, it WILL MISS. However, we cannot accurately predict PRECISELY how close it will come, and how the orbit of Apophis will be altered by the Earth's gravity. And when Apophis returns to near-Earth space, on Friday, April 13, 3036, there is a very small chance that it will strike the Earth. However, during the close pass in 2029, we will plant telemetry sensors and radar reflectors which will enable us to track it with perfect accuracy. And if we're smart - and nobody ever accused NASA of being smart! - we will also plant two very large nuclear weapons on Apophis. Then, several months later, when we've had time to calculate its orbit to see exactly where it will be in 2036, we can determine whether one or both of the weapons should be detonated to nudge Apophis into a safer orbit. And if it turns out that Apophis is not going to hit the Earth in 2036, then we can ignore them and watch the pretty asteroid scoot by. And in 2050 or so, we ought to be able to capture the asteroid and move it into a parking orbit, perhaps in the L4 or L5 points on the Moon's orbit. Just think; if this all works out, your grandchildren may live in the Apophis Station!

Apophis will pass near the Earth on April 13, 2029 within the orbits of geosynchronous communication satellites. It will not come closer to Earth than 19,400 miles.

the next asteroid is predicted in 2029

Astronomers say on April 14, 2029, a giant asteroid named Apophis will come really close to Earth, closer than the moon. On April 14, 2036, Apophis will make another close approach and possibly hit Earth. In 2029, if Apophis enters a thing called a keyhole, it will probably most definitely hit Earth in 2036. There are a couple theories that will try to stop it. One theory is we could send a few nuclear missiles and break it down to pieces and let it fall back to Earth. The second theory is we could send out a giant ball and knock it out of the way but it will maybe go through the keyhole again. The third theory is we could send a giant ship with a lot of gravity and tow it out of the way.No need to be scared if I were you because it has a 1 in 37 chance

The Earth is hit by thousands of meteors every day. Most are too small to be noticed, but occasionally a big one can make quite a flash. Scientists rarely have any advance knowledge of meteors before they hit; they are too small, too dark, and too fast. But there is one asteroid that is big enough to see which will come close to the Earth. But it will miss. We think. The asteroid Apophis will pass near the Earth in 2029 and 2036.

Most likely yes, but not in 2012. It will probably hit 2029 or 2036. BUT don't get worried. One asteroid cant hit the whole earth and destroy it. But be prepared. but that wont . Sorry this computer is dying

There are currently no asteroids that are predicted to hit the Earth. Nothing in the sky that is big enough to be visible is likely to hit us. However, astronomers frequently discover nearby objects that are very close indeed. in fact, last October, astronomers located a fairly small asteroid on a collision course with Earth - only 18 hours before it hit. That asteroid, a fairly small object about the size of a small house, exploded over the Sudan without causing any known damage or injury. And last month, astronomers discovered an asteroid that's in a "co-orbit" with the Earth, never very far away and moving in pretty much the same direction. The nearest thing to a "prediction" is the asteroid Apophis, which will come very close to Earth on Friday, April 13, 2029, and again on Friday, April 13, 2036. However, further analysis of the orbit of Apophis indicates that there is only one chance in 40,000 that it will hit.

Except for meteors, The Moon is, generally, the closest natural object in space to the Earth. Usually. On rare occasions, small asteroids zip by the Earth somewhat closer to Earth than the Moon is - and occasionally, a LOT closer. There was an asteroid in late 2009 that passed by the Earth at a distance of less than 100,000 miles. In 2029 and again in 2037, the asteroid Apophis will pass by the Earth at a distance of under 20,000 miles. If we include meteoroids, then no. Every day, the Earth is struck by tens of thousands of asteroids, and there are probably hundreds of thousands more that missed by some fairly small distance.

Sort of. There is an asteroid headed in earths direction, scientists just haven't calculated if it will hit or miss. They feel strongly that it will come within 26 thousand miles of earth. However they are not yet certain of that. This will not happen till 2029. If the asteroid does hit earth it will end ALL life on earth, it will sterilize our planet. The asteroid I believe is the size of manhattan.

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